>b's weblog

News. Journal. Whatever.

“Wenn die Progressiven Trump besiegen wollen, müssen sie die Arbeiter zurück gewinnen”Marko hat zugesagt, die Diskussion zu führen, und mir gegenüber einen Debattenbeitrag angekündigt ;-)

Die USA haben in mindestens 81 demokratische Wahlen eingegriffen, Putsche nicht mitgezählt

What are the electoral consequences of attempts by great powers to intervene in a partisan manner in another country’s elections? Great powers frequently deploy partisan electoral interventions as a major foreign policy tool. For example, the U.S. and the USSR/Russia have intervened in one of every nine competitive national level executive elections between 1946 and 2000. However, scant scholarly research has been conducted about their effects on the election results in the target. I argue that such interventions usually significantly increase the electoral chances of the aided candidate and that overt interventions are more effective than covert interventions. I then test these hypotheses utilizing a new, original dataset of all U.S. and USSR/Russian partisan electoral interventions between 1946 and 2000. I find strong support for both arguments.

Die Studie gibt's hier. Sie zeigt, dass die Manipulationen in der Regel funktionieren. Dabei funktionieren sowohl offene wie auch verdeckte Manipulationen. Die Studie untersucht historische Wahl-Manipulationen der USA wie auch welche der Sovietunion.

(via @wikileaks)